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AccuScore Projects ‘Skins-Browns Game

Posted by Andrew Walker on December 16, 2012 – 9:00 am

(AP photos)

(AP photos)

AccuScore is back this week with some wacky statistical projections and predictions for today’s game between the Washington Redskins and the Cleveland Browns.

Last Sunday, AccuScore had the Redskins winning in 51 percent of its 10,000 computer simulations against the Ravens. For the Redskins-Browns game, it’s the exact same outcome — even though Washington is the away team this time around.

Not surprisingly, AccuScore’s projections have a lot to do with two major factors: if quarterback Robert Griffin III is under center for the Redskins, and how effective running back Alfred Morris is compared to his fellow rookie running back on the Browns, Trent Richardson.

Well, we already know that the Redskins announced last night that rookie Kirk Cousins will, instead, start at quarterback for Griffin III, who is nursing a sprained LCL in his right knee.

Here’s the highlights of today’s AccuScore predictions for Redskins-Browns, according to ESPN:

– If Griffin III plays, Washington has a 59-percent chance of winning. If not, the Redskins are just 47-percent favorites.
– Cleveland is 62-percent favorites if Browns quarterback Brandon Weeden has 220-plus passing yards and Richardson has 80-plus rushing yards.
– If Morris outgains Richardson on the ground, then the Redskins are 78-percent favorites.
– AccuScore is going with the Redskins at 51 percent (5,100) out of 10,000 simulations.

CHIME IN: What wacky statistical predictions are you making for today’s Redskins-Browns game? Feel free to comment below.

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