AccuScore — one of the industry’s leaders in sports projections and simulations — has determined that if the Washington Redskins win the ground game in today’s game, then they have a 77-percent chance of winning.
It’s just one of those wacky math things that I’ll never understand.
Anyway, ESPN has a video out with various projections and predictions for today’s Redskins-Vikings game, which kicks off at 4:25 p.m. from FedExField.
What’s the best of all the projections you ask?
AccuScore simulated today’s Redskins-Vikings game 10,000 times. The Redskins (2-3) came out victorious 49 percent of the time — or 4,900 times.
Gotta love the trusty old calculator.
Here’s a couple other interesting projections from AccuScore regarding today’s game:
- Minnesota (4-1) is averaging about 1.5 turnovers per simulation against the Redskins.
- If Vikings quarterback Christian Ponder throws an interception and completes less than 60 percent of his passes today, Minnesota’s chances of winning drop to 36 percent.
- If Ponder completes better than 60 percent of his passes and does not commit a turnover, the Vikings’ changes increase to 60 percent.
- Minnesota: averaging 140 rushing yards per simulation; Washington: 120 rushing yards per simulation
- If Washington gets the edge in rushing yards, their chances jump to 77 percent.
- The Vikings winning 51 percent of 10,000 simulations.
CHIME IN: What crazy projections do you have for today’s game vs. the Vikings? And do you have the math to back it up? If you don’t that’s OK, I guess.
Tags: 2012 regular season, accuscore, ESPN, minnesota vikings, washington redskins
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