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AccuScore Projects ‘Skins-Vikes Outcome

Posted by Andrew Walker on October 14, 2012 – 10:06 am

(Photo by ExtremeSkins)

AccuScore — one of the industry’s leaders in sports projections and simulations — has determined that if the Washington Redskins win the ground game in today’s game, then they have a 77-percent chance of winning.

It’s just one of those wacky math things that I’ll never understand.

Anyway, ESPN has a video out with various projections and predictions for today’s Redskins-Vikings game, which kicks off at 4:25 p.m. from FedExField.

What’s the best of all the projections you ask?

AccuScore simulated today’s Redskins-Vikings game 10,000 times. The Redskins (2-3) came out victorious 49 percent of the time — or 4,900 times.

Gotta love the trusty old calculator.

Here’s a couple other interesting projections from AccuScore regarding today’s game:

– Minnesota (4-1) is averaging about 1.5 turnovers per simulation against the Redskins.
– If Vikings quarterback Christian Ponder throws an interception and completes less than 60 percent of his passes today, Minnesota’s chances of winning drop to 36 percent.
– If Ponder completes better than 60 percent of his passes and does not commit a turnover, the Vikings’ changes increase to 60 percent.
– Minnesota: averaging 140 rushing yards per simulation; Washington: 120 rushing yards per simulation
– If Washington gets the edge in rushing yards, their chances jump to 77 percent.
– The Vikings winning 51 percent of 10,000 simulations.

CHIME IN: What crazy projections do you have for today’s game vs. the Vikings? And do you have the math to back it up? If you don’t that’s OK, I guess.

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Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »

One Response to “AccuScore Projects ‘Skins-Vikes Outcome”

  1. By HTTRHVBOTWFFODC on Oct 14, 2012 | Reply

    skins 35- RG3 3td, int- Morris 286 rushing yards, 2 td

    vikings 28- Ponder 3 td – AP 140 rushing, 1 td, 2 fumble

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