When it comes to the art of film study, few football-heads do it better than Greg Cosell of NFL Films. Impervious to workouts and character off the field, Cosell strictly analyzes how a player performs on the gridiron.
What you see is what you get, which is a refreshing perspective in the age of over-thinking.
In the lead up to Thursday’s draft, Cosell put together his first ever mock draft, designed to match biggest team need with best prospect on film. He’s watched hundreds of hours of college film, because, well, that’s what he does:
I am solely basing my player evaluations on what’s on the tape. That’s what I do. I watch tape.
And what Cosell determined during that film study, is that Robert Griffin III is the better quarterback prospect. Not ‘he could develop in the future.’ Not ‘better for certain systems.’ He’s a better quarterback, right now.
Here’s his full analysis of Griffin–the man, the myth, the tape:
1. Indianapolis (I know they are taking Andrew Luck but that’s not important for this exercise): My highest rated quarterback is Robert Griffin III. Projecting college quarterbacks to the NFL demands an understanding of the attributes needed to play on Sunday. I presented those earlier this week.
My conclusion: Griffin is a superior arm talent and better natural passer than Luck. This debate will rage for a long time, but that’s my story, and I’m sticking to it.
While comparing Luck to Griffin, most pundits have used subtle descriptions to differentiate between the two quarterbacks. For Mike Mayock, Luck was “No. 1″ and Griffin was “1A.” The popular phrase in recent weeks has been that Griffin has “more upside,” but Luck is more “NFL-ready.”
Hogwash, says Cosell. They may both be good, but Griffin is top dog at this stage of the game, and if the upside reports are true, then he is the better quarterback.
To be fair, Cosell says Luck may be a better fit for the Redskins than he would for Indianapolis, given Matt Schaub’s success in Houston. If Luck falls to the Redskins at No. 2, Redskins fans have every right to be ecstatic:
2. Washington: There are similarities between the offense Mike and Kyle Shanahan run, and the Houston Texans offense of Gary Kubiak. Andrew Luck fits very well into that scheme.
He’s a bigger, more physical and more talented Matt Schaub, with the same kind of short to intermediate passing efficiency and more athleticism to get outside the pocket on designed rollouts. Luck would be outstanding in that offense.
Reports came out today that the Colts are set on taking Luck at No. 1, but there are no guarantees until the picks are announced on Thursday. Be careful what you believe between then and now, because this is the best time of the year for smokescreens and posturing.
Then again, Redskins fans have nothing to be upset about. Left with the best quarterback on film or the best player for the system? Either way, the Redskins win.
Tags: greg cosell, nfl films, quarterback, RG3, Robert Griffin III, washington redskins
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