I think it’s official: as I sat down to type the headline for this post, acute draft fatigue turned into something like an existential crisis. There are so many analysts at this point, all projecting variations of the same twenty scenarios, that’s it’s all become essentially meaningless. And yet credentialed, well-informed reporters happily report the rambling speculations of a few draft experts as if the news is actually somehow significant.
The best thing I’ve read from a “draft expert” in the last few weeks isn’t even ABOUT this year’s draft (at least not directly): it’s National Football Post’s Wes Bunting owning up to several of his biggest misses in past draft coverage, and explaining what he’s learned from them. That’s some interesting, informative stuff, and it even offers background on Bunting’s methodology, which has an effect on how one might read his 2011 stuff.
Regardless of my existential crises, though, the release of the latest iteration of ESPN’s Mock Drafts — especially multi-rounders! — is big news. And today, Todd McShay and Mel Kiper both put out three round mocks. So, without further ado, here’s how the Redskins made out, along with my reactions:
McShay’s first round pick:
In the second, McShay suggests, the Redskins will pick Colin Kaepernick, QB out of Nevada.
My reaction: I don’t love going offense with both picks, but I’d actually be pretty okay with this pairing. Kaepernick in the second sounds like a reasonable intersection of value and potential for a quarterback, and much better than taking any QB at tenth overall.
In the second, Kiper suggests, the Redskins will pick Christian Ponder, QB out of Florida State.
My reaction: Somewhat to my surprise, I like this duo even better than McShay’s. I’ve said all along that I thought the first pick should be used on defensive line help, and Watt seems like a good fit. I wasn’t a fan of Ponder’s during his time at Florida State, but an awful lot of people seem to believe that he projects well as a pro QB, especially in a Mike Shanahan-esque offense. And, as in the last example, this seems like a reasonable intersection of value and potential for the QB spot.
Tags: links, Mel Kiper, mock drafts, todd mcshay
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