Madden Football Is Shockingly Accurate

Posted by Matt Terl on February 3, 2009 – 2:09 pm

Last week, I mentioned that Tecmo Super Bowl and Madden 09 had both generated Super Bowl predictions through simulation. Tecmo Super Bowl was, somewhat unsurprisingly, flat-out wrong. The Cardinals didn’t win, the players were NOT two-dimensional and pixelated, and each team had more than eight plays in their playbook.

Madden’s prediction, though … that one was a little closer. A lot closer, actually. Chris Littmann at First Cuts explains:

Score at halftime
Sim: 21-7 Steelers
Real game: 17-7 Steelers

Final score
Sim: 28-24 Steelers
Real game: 27-23

Ben Roethlisberger
Sim: 21/28 for 238 yards
Real game: 21/30 for 256 yards

There are more in the link, include an EXACT prediction of Santonio Holmes’s receiving yards. Between this demonstration of the power of the Madden AI, the recent University of Oregon survey indicating that Madden players are smarter football fans, and the early revelation of some of the features coming up in Madden 10, it’s been a good week for the Madden franchise.

And, actually, the man who helped create the video game franchise has been receiving just about uniformly good reviews for his job covering the Super Bowl. So maybe it’s just been a good week for Madden, full stop.


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